Coronavirus (Covid-19) Discussion
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A couple of days ago I reported a marked increase of people presenting at A&Es having had RTAs. Tonight on the UK government briefing Grant Shapps confirmed that road travel has increased in the UK.
Fact:
Admiral Insurance (one of the UK's largest, if not the largest insurance companies) is giving £25 per car insurance policy refunds because of the reduced number of claims during the lock down.@Giles There has been a huge reduction in the numbers of people driving. Obviously as a result per captia there will be less accidents than there were this time last year, so less insurance claims as a total for the population.
If you compare how many people are driving now, and what percentage of those driving are having accidents, it will be siginifacntly higher as a percentage than you might expect (our local A&E has reported a 21% increase in admissions due to rta as of 24.04.20).
There has been an increase in people driving over the past 2 weeks, and proportionally, of those driving, a higher percentage than would be expected are having accidents, mainly due to either speeding, or having drunk alcohol, or both.
If 6 million people drive, and 1% crash and make an insurance claim, that is 60, 000 claims.
If 1 million people drive and 2% crash and make an insurance claim, that is 20,000 claims.
The number of claims massively reduces, but the percentage of those drivers having accidents has doubled.
Not everyone that has had an accident needs hospital treatment. The fact that more people are presenting at A&Es suggests the accidents are more serious (apparently the most common are misjudging corners and ending up in a ditch or wall).
The affect on the insurance companies will be miniscule, but the affect on A&Es will be greater.
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One of these days, @neph93 I would love to sit with you in Gosport and have some drinks and another great discussion…..
That would be wonderful. Alternatively, you and your better half are always welcome in the north of Norway. Here’s to looking forward to better times [emoji482]
Better half, other half depends on the day, but that would be great. If and when you would make it over here, ya'll are welcome here as well.
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If and when you would make it over here, ya'll are welcome here as well.
Thank you, sir. I’m coming over to the States at some point in the next few years. Been saying that for a while but it needs to happen. You can cross your fingers it isn’t «all» of us though. @Giles and @Madame Buttonfly can tell you what that is like [emoji1]
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It's no surprise spread is rampant in prisons but the positive rates, especially the asymptomatic rates, are incredibly high.
I'm wondering if prisoners are exposed to Corona type viruses on a regular basis similar to the theory around why young children are mostly not impacted due to being regularly exposed at daycare/school, and have thus built up a general immunity to it?
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A residential care home in our area had 10 residents all symptomatic of Covid 19, all where tested. Results came back from the NHS today. 2 tested positive for Covid 19, 8 were negative and diagnosed with influenza. Sadly one of the negative tested residents has died. Very sad.
This is a worrying new development..
I think people are getting very restless now too. It is very busy on the roads in South East Essex today, and I've spoken to people in Hertfordshire and Bedfordshire today and they report the same. My wife went to Waitrose after work today and said it was like a Saturday, with ALL tils open. That particular store is usually very quite, with no queuing outside at anytime. I wonder if this is some people's reaction to the predicted weather change in the UK this week?
This article from 2015 is interesting yet worrying…
https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opinion/lab-made-coronavirus-triggers-debate-34502And then there's this...
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/suppressed-science-indicates-covid-19-man-made-jenna-luche-thayer/
On Saturday morning BBC news had an interview with scientists that also entertained the theory that this strain of Novel Coronavirus is man-made.
What I find interesting is that all of these reports are from established professionals in their fields, not 'wack jobs' from the interweb.
This may also be symptomatic of our human need to find answers wherever we find them
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Got my RCFG mask today and I dig it. I’m not sure if they use a cotton jersey fabric for the inside but it’s nice and soft. The best part for me is the fit. It’s about as close to perfect as you can get. The other camo one I bought on Etsy kinda sucks because the elastic bands are too tight and makes it hard for the mask to stay fastened around my ears. The RCFG mask isn’t too tight or too loose and feels comfortable.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Sweet I just ordered a wabash one (of course
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Int'l shipping is such a mess right now. Here are the packages I've been waiting for:
Coming from: Sent date: Latest update
USA 17-Mar-20 Spent 1 month in JP (?) before being sent out on Apr-23.Out for delivery in France
USA 23-Mar-20 Departed Chicago March 29
USA 25-Mar-20 Departed NYC Apr-27
Australia 1-Apr-20 Departed Sydney on Apr-2. I worry is stuck in JP.
Japan 9-Apr-20 Departed Osaka Int'l on Apr-24
Lithuania 15-Apr-20 Departed Vilnius Int'l on Apr-18Pretty stressful as it is; would be much worse without tracking….
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We are seeing virtually no delays with UPS. Occasionally we get a one-day delay on imports from Japan, as UPS continues to route through China from Japan. Their reason: "delay caused by circumstances beyond the control of UPS" makes my blood boil, shipping it through China is completely within your control you fucking dorks….But as they have removed all service guarantee's during the crisis, they incur no fiscal penalty by being late.
We do ship to one retailer in The US via EMS. Cartons we shipped to him weeks ago, are still stuck in Osaka "because there are no planes flying to The USA" - which of course is bollocks.
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Yep, I've had the same experience: parcels shipped with integrated private carriers are doing OK (FedEx) or great (UPS & DHL). The national postal services seem to be a mess, at least for international shipments. Japan seems to be particularly disorganized, which I did not expect.
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Japan seems to be particularly disorganized, which I did not expect.
I did. It is a national characteristic (I did not make this up myself, but have had numerous discussions with my Japanese friends and colleagues). Obedience is instilled in them from a very young age and to follow process and not use initiative. When something mutates an established process, it takes a long time to adapt.
I once had a discussion with Sarina about why a particular Japanese colleague followed a process that was clearly wrong and we had to correct his work once a week. It took her 24 hours to think about it before she gave me an answer. "Japanese workers do what they are told to do by their boss, even if they know something is wrong they will continue to do it". She signed off with the immortal phrase, "and that is why mysterious things happen"
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I had some beer ship from Mikkeller via UPS. The package left Queens on Thursday, went to Brooklyn, out for delivery, then back to Queens, and then finally delivered to me in Brooklyn yesterday.
Took 6 days and the cans are pretty banged around. But otherwise UPS has been delivering pretty fine to me. -
Hope everyone is still doing well. My sister was reassigned and is leading a team in a Covid19 ICU in NYC (she didn’t tell me which one) and she’s pretty miserable. Apparently it’s basically been triage in there.
I’ve been busy as all fuck but hanging in there. I’m definitely not 28 anymore.
Had a funny conversation this morning with a homicide detective this morning. Apparently gang related attempted murders are up but homicides are down. I guess social distancing works if you’re a shitty shot.
Dark humor is all I got these days
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Aren’t most people shitty shots?
Hope all is well. Stay safe.
