Coronavirus (Covid-19) Discussion
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Found this from another site, perhaps a silver lining for the future?
Could COVID 19 be stopped by warmer weather?
We still don’t understand why respiratory infections like colds and the flu typically start in the winter and tend to fizzle out by late spring. There are many different theories to explain this, but one key component might be that the dryness of winter air makes it difficult for the lung to defend itself. If you don’t have winter to dry out your schnoz, just get on an airplane, where average humidity is about 12% — drier than most deserts (because the engineering required to humidify an airplane is exceedingly complicated).
We can hope that COVID-19 will tail off with the coming of spring. The 2003 SARS outbreak peaked in March and April and was all but over by May. MERS appeared in 2012, spiked in the spring of 2014, and has just simmered since. It’s been isolated primarily to the Arabian Peninsula, which lacks what most people would recognize as winter.
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@gaseousclay it will almost certainly not be «stopped» by summer coming. It may be slowed a little, but probably not. The truth is no one really knows though.
Here is a decent and reliable breakdown of the issue which addresses the actual reason why SARS fizzled out in the spring, and why Covid-19 may not behave like seasonal influensa:
Social distancing and closing non essential institutions is a much better bet when it comes to slowing the spread.
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Sometimes i wonder if this is some kind of distraction.
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The stealthy/asymptomatic nature of the virus almost makes it impossible to detect. By the time you exhibit symptons, it is already too late. Tough one to fight, especially for the elderly. Keep your social distance and wash your hands thoroughly. Respect and all the power to our doctors and nurses. Stay safe!
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The school I work at is closed indefinitely since yesterday…. so 14 days at least. My wife cant go to work because I work at that school and my kids cant go to daycare for the same reason.... up good old CT of the USA! stuff is getting crazy around here.
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Same with schools here in Maryland. I'm a middle school art teacher. My biggest question that I'm waiting for from our admin is what are teachers expected to do? I have a feeling it will be more than 14 days. They are probably going to take our spring break days from next month, but that's only 4. I'm just glad I don't have any kids of my own yet. I have yet to brave a grocery store…one of my students said her and her mother were in line for an hour last night at Food Lion. Yikes...
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Same with schools here in Maryland. I'm a middle school art teacher. My biggest question that I'm waiting for from our admin is what are teachers expected to do? I have a feeling it will be more than 14 days. They are probably going to take our spring break days from next month, but that's only 4. I'm just glad I don't have any kids of my own yet. I have yet to brave a grocery store…one of my students said her and her mother were in line for an hour last night at Food Lion. Yikes...
If it's at all an option for you, I'd recommend one of those grocery delivery services - Instacart and the like. Also check whether Amazon Fresh is available in your area. A lot of stuff can be ordered online (pasta, rice, canned tuna or tomatoes, chocolate, etc.) You can also patronize a small farm weekly box delivery…
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Same with schools here in Maryland. I'm a middle school art teacher. My biggest question that I'm waiting for from our admin is what are teachers expected to do? I have a feeling it will be more than 14 days. They are probably going to take our spring break days from next month, but that's only 4. I'm just glad I don't have any kids of my own yet. I have yet to brave a grocery store…one of my students said her and her mother were in line for an hour last night at Food Lion. Yikes...
If it's at all an option for you, I'd recommend one of those grocery delivery services - Instacart and the like. Also check whether Amazon Fresh is available in your area. A lot of stuff can be ordered online (pasta, rice, canned tuna or tomatoes, chocolate, etc.) You can also patronize a small farm weekly box delivery…
Good call there!
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Sometimes i wonder if this is some kind of distraction.
In all likelihood this epidemic will result in hundreds of thousands of deaths in the US alone.
How did you extrapolate that number? There are 39 that have died in the US so far. More people have recovered from Covid-19 than have died. H1N1 killed an estimated 10k to 12k in the US back in ‘09. Let’s not sensationalize what’s happening. More people will die from this for sure but it’s still too early to say with any certainty how many more will fall victim to it.
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i'm not in singapore but by looking at the figures there i was shocked at how low the amount of cases there were and also no deaths from the virus. with such a heavily concentrated population, you would think that it would've spread fast..
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In a pond, there is a lily pad that doubles its size every day. On the 28th day, the lily pad covered the whole pond, in what day does the lily pad covered only half of the pond?
Exactly. 4 days before the last day, you have less than 10% of the pond covered. Think about it.
In all likelihood this epidemic will result in hundreds of thousands of deaths in the US alone.
How did you extrapolate that number? There are 39 that have died in the US so far. More people have recovered from Covid-19 than have died.
More people will survive the infection than die from it, of course. The lethality is probably 1% to 4%, depending. However, it's estimated rated that 40% - 70% of the population is likely to contract the disease at some point. In a country of 330M people, you end up with 100's of 1,000,000's dead.
Again, please take 20mn to read this: https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca
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i'm not in singapore but by looking at the figures there i was shocked at how low the amount of cases there were and also no deaths from the virus. with such a heavily concentrated population, you would think that it would've spread fast..
Some Asian countries (e.g., South Korea) seem to be reacting very forcefully and effectively. I'm worried about Japan (no school closure so far and Olympics are still scheduled for this Summer).
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I'm an administrator at an elementary school and we are trying to develop a plan to move to distance learning so we can apply for a waiver to count these days and don't have to hold classes until June 30th….
Up here those grocery delivery services are no longer delivering....
My kids (two 4 year-olds) will spend a tremendous amount of time on their tablets and watching movies while I try to get some stuff done.... but they will also get a healthy dose of bike rides, hikes, bouncy house jumping, and backyard playground playing as well (and lots of frozen pizza!).
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Some Asian countries (e.g., South Korea) seem to be reacting very forcefully and effectively. I'm worried about Japan (no school closure so far and Olympics are still scheduled for this Summer).
south korea has taken a big hit based on their figures. i think japan unlucky since the cruise ships that were docked and banned from port there affected their number of cases greatly. i think japan isn't as bad as it seems.
i personally feel that there's nothing to be worried about. the cases exploding around Europe is because they have failed to prepare themselves initially. also, i feel that they may lack the experience from SARS. if you look at Singapore's figures, a country with such high density and small size should've been one of the worse. but it's all being managed quite well. Even HK with it's close proximity to China is doing very well.
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