Jesus what a day

Now where the heck did I put my shacket?

Ready for my Met Gala appearance in this crazy Kashmir goat coat c/o @Anesthetist it is so soft. A t shirt is the best way to wear to feel that softness but I can layer uHf too. Black cowboy hat/boots will be the winter move. Thanks Matt! Love it.

Cool Sunday morning means slub debut. Then I’ll have to shed when it warms up.

Mo 6-6-3-fo for the fall

Howdy!

I’m over the moon to have found a wabby chore coat after Wabbidashery tour induced FOMO. I was concerned the Large of the sample wouldn’t fit like the XL of the Wabbidashery but it’s perfect. Thank you Iron Heart and Outlet. And the chocolate and card are also much appreciated.

Cowboy Woody at your service

Walkin da dog. I love this fella.

Big week for Hattie. First cinema experience (Moana 2) and first ballet (The Nutcracker). Wore my IH cords, A&A sweater, RMC USN 1913 peacoat. She made it through but it couldn’t have been a minute longer. Should get easier each year!

@SourPower said in IRON HEART WAYWT - 2025 EDITION:

@Igneous would love to have a Denver meetup. @mclaincausey and I will never pass up the opportunity to drink beers and geek out about denim!

100. About to do so right now but mainly for a hoagie:
     https://www.instagram.com/p/DIPSCVqxqLP/?igsh=ZGQ1azZhMXM0azVz

Congratulations! It's really hard to get my head around the magnitude of that achievement and very humbling.

Unrelated to this stunning accomplishment: to any Audible subscribers, included for free with your subscription: Ray Porter, one of my favorite narrators, did the narration for the book The Black Hole War: My Battle with Stephen Hawking to Make the World Safe for Quantum Mechanics by the incredible Leonard Susskind, and it is truly excellent. Almost as good as having the author read it himself (he is a fantastic lecturer).

Lots of mind-bending stuff in there around black holes, string theory, quantum field theory, and the hypothesis that our reality is a hologram coded on a distant 2D surface, presented fairly accessibly without too much math (thank goodness).

I get upset when Stroll outperforms Alonso. Now there is a “team nerfing a driver’s car to benefit the other driver” conspiracy theory that I find more plausible than the McLaren one.

It’ll be interesting to see Newey’s first AM car next season.

@Giles La tzi chicken?

@WhiskeySandwich 26th, looking down at KMag, Lawson, Grosjean, Zhou, Colapinto, de Vries, Latifi, and drumroll Mazepin. I have some data gaps around Logan and a few others so he isn’t scored yet until I figure out what happened there.

@WhiskeySandwich they say the driver is something like 15-25% impact on outcomes.

I built a driver assessment model that scores qualifying and racing performance, weighing qualifying 40% to racing’s 60%, controls for car differences by comparing performance against teammates, controls for strategy differences by looking at positions gained/lost, and incorporates pit stop efficiency and a number of other factors available over public APIs. Looking at 2020 through Brazil 2025, Max first with a substantial lead, then Charles, Norris, Hamilton, Russell, and Alonso in that order in a tighter cluster. Hamilton is sliding and benefited from earlier years, Alonso benefitted from 2023 in particular, and the trajectories of Russell and Oscar have a similar upward slope. Norris was slightly down this year relative to last in the model but if his form continues obviously that will change. He benefits from consistency and being a strong qualifier and racer, but, tellingly, his race score is of course a bit lower, speaking to his well documented sometimes overly gentlemanly / not aggressive enough racing.

As much as I like him and as impressive as his racecraft can be, Sainz was a bit below that Elite cluster, where Max is the sole occupant of the Generational cluster for the period of the analysis. Perhaps this is unfairly distorted by having Leclerc as a teammate, but Lando was beating Sainz in qualifying in 2020 and 2021 and by 2021 had almost a 50/50 split in points share. It’ll be interesting to see how all this shakes out over time and whether and for how long Lando can hold Piastri off. Team strategy and his own mistakes and conservatism have limited him in the past. We may see a different driver in the future.

It’s wild to me how arrogant and clueless Ferrari are.

https://www.gpblog.com/en/news/fans-praise-buttons-fierce-response-to-elkann-criticism

The common denominator in Ferrari’s futility and their being a graveyard for WDC drivers is Ferrari. Leclerc is IMO the second best driver on the grid if you control for the car, strategy, and other factors, and he’s only finished P2 in WDC one time over his entire run with them. Look in the mirror.

Or at least pretend to.

@goosehd thats kind of where I am. Ferrari took it out of him at warp speed. They’re getting better at being a WDC graveyard at least!

Great weekend indeed. Gutted for Ferrari’s drivers. I think Lewis is just going to have to live with his 7 WDCs and am gutted for him and Charles, and especially Bortoleto this weekend. Very pleased for Lando and starting to question the ceiling and inevitability of Piastri.

@Matt I don’t blame him. He’s clearly taken too many hits to the head over the years.

Mexico bites are so exceptional.