Motor Sport
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@mclaincausey oh a mate of mine sent me this today. Didn’t think it was real, but then realise it was.
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@WhiskeySandwich they say the driver is something like 15-25% impact on outcomes.
I built a driver assessment model that scores qualifying and racing performance, weighing qualifying 40% to racing’s 60%, controls for car differences by comparing performance against teammates, controls for strategy differences by looking at positions gained/lost, and incorporates pit stop efficiency and a number of other factors available over public APIs. Looking at 2020 through Brazil 2025, Max first with a substantial lead, then Charles, Norris, Hamilton, Russell, and Alonso in that order in a tighter cluster. Hamilton is sliding and benefited from earlier years, Alonso benefitted from 2023 in particular, and the trajectories of Russell and Oscar have a similar upward slope. Norris was slightly down this year relative to last in the model but if his form continues obviously that will change. He benefits from consistency and being a strong qualifier and racer, but, tellingly, his race score is of course a bit lower, speaking to his well documented sometimes overly gentlemanly / not aggressive enough racing.
As much as I like him and as impressive as his racecraft can be, Sainz was a bit below that Elite cluster, where Max is the sole occupant of the Generational cluster for the period of the analysis. Perhaps this is unfairly distorted by having Leclerc as a teammate, but Lando was beating Sainz in qualifying in 2020 and 2021 and by 2021 had almost a 50/50 split in points share. It’ll be interesting to see how all this shakes out over time and whether and for how long Lando can hold Piastri off. Team strategy and his own mistakes and conservatism have limited him in the past. We may see a different driver in the future.
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@mclaincausey very interesting! Sounds like you've got some legit good data there. Thanks for sharing your analysis, I'd be into hearing more about it. like where Stroll falls... lol
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@WhiskeySandwich 26th, looking down at KMag, Lawson, Grosjean, Zhou, Colapinto, de Vries, Latifi, and drumroll Mazepin. I have some data gaps around Logan and a few others so he isn’t scored yet until I figure out what happened there.
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Stroll is guaranteed to get into an accident per race often before the 10th lap and almost certain to take someone else out with him.
@mclaincausey Did I miss anything, because Stroll doesn’t
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@Tago-Mago Respectfully
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@Giles said in Motor Sport:
"Can you see that Moose over there"
"Yes"
"Passed""You missed it. Fail!" -
I get upset when Stroll outperforms Alonso. Now there is a “team nerfing a driver’s car to benefit the other driver” conspiracy theory that I find more plausible than the McLaren one.
It’ll be interesting to see Newey’s first AM car next season.
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I never thought Lando had the minerals (to quote Webber) to win a championship. but tip of the cap for his recent consistency.
Another sad outing for Lewis.
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You can’t convince me otherwise, but Max is seriously going to fuck with him…he lives for this stuff and the pressure on Lando is going to be intense.
Should be a great race.
"I don't give a shit what anyone else is doing, we will do what is best for us and our customers" - Giles P. :)
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100% @goosehd
It's fun seeing Max as an "under dog"
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@goosehd there will be drama on lap one, that is for sure.
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@Giles said in Motor Sport:
Get in there Lando.......
Really proud of the kid. He has been consistently performing when it matters. Really challenging qualy to put down a lap like that.
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Unfuckingbelievable
