Motor Sport
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11 races to down, 11 races to come and this is what the bookies say...
Based on the current betting markets and bookmaker odds, the implied probability of each driver winning the 2026 World Drivers' Championship heavily favors the championship leader:
Andrea Kimi Antonelli: Around 80% to 82% implied probability (priced heavily as a -400 to -475 favorite). Lewis Hamilton: Around 11% to 12% implied probability (priced roughly between +600 to +800).Let's hope there is more drama that that.
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Driver Team Bookmaker Odds Implied Probability Andrea Kimi Antonelli Mercedes 1/4 to 2/9 (Approx. -425) ~78% - 80% Lewis Hamilton Ferrari 6/1 to 13/2 (Approx. +700) ~12% - 13% George Russell Mercedes 16/1 to 20/1 (Approx. +1700) ~5% - 6% Charles Leclerc Ferrari 20/1 to 25/1 (Approx. +2500) ~4% - 5% Lando Norris McLaren 20/1 to 25/1 (Approx. +2200) ~4% - 5% -
So, if I had to choose which drivers to have a drink with, it would be Lewis, Max, Nico, Alonso and Bottas. I would happily pass on Lando.
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@Bridger This seems legit to me. Also, since the last two races will probably be cancelled, less time to make up ground on Kimi.
I'd be pretty psyched for the kid to win WDC. Crazy to me that Russell can't come close to him this season.
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2025 Mercedes Team Comparison
@WhiskeySandwich - I agree about George. Such a turnaround since last year. Something in Kimi has just clicked and he has turned into a freakin' race beast.
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@Bridger Yeah thats wild. Must just be the car vs their driving style. Kimi seems to be a natural talent and a fast learner. Rooting for him, he's probably going to be one of the giants of F1.
While i still feel like the car has been THE major factor in WDC lately, Kimi just seems to have a gift. Strikes a contrast with Lando of last season, to me at least.
Last year the McLarens were super close. When Max was winning he was miles ahead of his teammate. Kimi is pulling a Max this year.
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@WhiskeySandwich - I agree Kimi could be great. If he wins this year and goes into the next season even more confidence at this age, provided the car remains competitive, he will be a force to be reckoned with
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I recommend Brawn the Impossible Formula 1 Story documentary on BBC if you haven't seen it. Crazy to think this happened in 2009. I cannot imagine it could happen again.
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One thing less for the bulls to worry about
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Anybody else kinda bored with F1 this season? I'm psyched for Antonelli getting the WDC, but this new gen has caused me to lose a bit of interest.
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Hamilton's not that far behind given how much Antonelli has won. so I'd pretty exciting this year
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In general, I really dislike the new regs. Sure we have a few teams very close to each other at the front. But I hate that the poor sods have to back off the speed in the fast corners. This supposed to be the pinnacle of motor sport. Leave the e-shit to the woke-formulae.....
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It was also really stupid to change PU and chassis regs, AND distribution, all at the same time. They’re suffering from their stupidity there. It’s just not a good viewing experience anymore and they squandered the opportunity they had to grow the sport exponentially.
Think it, be it.
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…this season can be summed up by the winner is the one with the best luck. Driver skill has been hampered by cars hampered by regulation hampered by….
“our policy of no discussions regarding politics, religion, asparagus, and other controversial issues.” - Andrew
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I never understood having hybrid motors when they use cargo jets to fly all over the world. Not to mention the private jets. F1 does not appeal to people who buy hybrids, in general.
I wish they’d just go back to NA.
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I’m a huge Lewis fan, so I’m still rooting for him. Saw him win the championship in Abu Dhabi and I’m more than happy to go for a drink with him anytime.
Who’s looking forward to the new Saudi track with a 20-storey high first corner. Get me in that crazy swimming pool!
https://driven.site/news/saudi-arabia-unveils-plans-for-new-circuit-from-2027 -
@mclaincausey said in Motor Sport:
They’re suffering from their stupidity there.
...all three forms.... -
said in Motor Sport:
…this season can be summed up by the winner is the one with the best luck. Driver skill has been hampered by cars hampered by regulation hampered by….
Partially retracting the above…some of the drive skill this year is damn impressive
